College Football Predictions
Predicted Scores · Win Probability · Market Comparisons
See where the model and the market disagree.
Versus compares its mathematical predictions against live sportsbook lines — spread variance, total variance and exact win probability for every game below.
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Predictions updated: Sunday, October 4, 2026
Market Comparison
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Spread
Diff: 1.18 pts — USM +10.5 · no lean
Total (O/U)
Diff: 0.74 pts — Over 49.5 · no lean
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#113
Mountain West · (2-3)
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#73
Mountain West · (3-2)
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#85
Mountain West · (3-1)
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#134
Mountain West · (0-4)
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#121
Mid-American · (1-4)
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#118
Mid-American · (2-3)
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#124
FBS Independents · (2-3)
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#119
Mid-American · (1-4)
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#127
Mountain West · (1-4)
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#103
Mid-American · (2-3)
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#109
Mid-American · (2-3)
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#101
Mid-American · (4-1)
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#133
Mountain West · (1-3)
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#126
Mountain West · (1-4)
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#34
Mountain West · (5-0)
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#78
Mountain West · (3-2)
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#132
Mid-American · (1-4)
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#112
Mid-American · (1-4)
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#3
FBS Independents · (5-0)
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Date
Away
Score / Win%
Home
Score / Win%
Versus
Market
ATS Var
O/U Var
10/6
20.46
29%
29.78
71%
TROY -9.32 O/U 50.24
TROY -10.5 O/U 49.5
2.3%
1.5%
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ATS Variance ✓
O/U Variance ✓
Date ✓
Win Probability ✓
Spread ✓
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