Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Vegas 59%, St. Louis 41% at Vegas.
Vegas' win probability against St. Louis has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Vegas' win probability against St. Louis has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Vegas' win probability against St. Louis has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.