Northern Arizona at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 8.41
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, September 20, 2026
RATINGS
Northern Arizona
Tarleton 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
94
A
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
91
A-
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Future) |
77
C+
|
RANKINGS
Northern Arizona
Tarleton
| 12 #112 overall |
Overall | 4 #73 overall |
| 17 #150 overall |
Power | 12 #134 overall |
| 16 #151 overall |
Offensive | 12 #122 overall |
| 26 #160 overall |
Defensive | 14 #142 overall |
| 23 #146 overall |
SoS (Current) | 81 #276 overall |
| 15 #152 overall |
SoS (Future) | 74 #225 overall |
Tarleton St#469%
Northern Arizona#1231%Wk 4 (Sep 20), 2026-27: Tarleton St 69%, Northern Arizona 31% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against Northern Arizona is trending down — from 81% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Tarleton St's win probability against Northern Arizona is trending down — from 85% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Tarleton St's win probability against Northern Arizona is trending down — from 88% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Tarleton St favored
Northern Arizona favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Northern Arizona | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
RECORDS
Northern Arizona
Tarleton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Overall |
4-0 (100%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Away |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northern Arizona
Tarleton
| #212 Incarnate Word | Best Win | #248 Bowling Green |
| #42 Arizona | Worst Loss | None |
| 12 pts vs #352 Utah Tech | Largest MOV | 25 pts vs #374 Merrimack |
| 28 pts vs #42 Arizona | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northern Arizona
Tarleton
| 28.5 | Points per Game | 35.3 |
| 28.3 | Points Against | 21.8 |
| 36 | Home PPG | 47 |
| 27.5 | Home PA | 25 |
| 21 | Away PPG | 23.5 |
| 29 | Away PA | 18.5 |
| 5-9 | Opponent Record | 3-12 |
| 208.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 315.8 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northern Arizona
Tarleton
| Sep 19 | at Utah Tech (0-4) | W35-23 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (1-3) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Incarnate Word (2-1) | W38-28 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (1-3) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Arizona (2-1) | L7-35 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (0-3) | W20-13 |
| Aug 29 | vs Eastern Washington (1-3) | W34-27 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (1-3) | W49-30 |
