Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Washington 79%, Penn St 21% at Penn St.
Washington's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 82% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Washington's win probability against Penn St has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Penn St has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.