Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Texas
Tampa Bay
|
75
C
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Texas
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Texas
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
Texas
Tampa Bay
| 19 | Overall | 3 |
| 23 | Power | 6 |
| 26 | Offensive | 9 |
| 19 | Defensive | 6 |
| 29 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 29 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 60%, Texas 40% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Texas has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Texas has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Texas has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Texas | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 4 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 6 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 25 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 27 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 28 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 29 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 30 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 31 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 32 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
Texas
Tampa Bay
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Head to Head |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
45-36 (55.6%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
29-29 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
51-53 (49%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Texas
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 10 runs vs #13 Chi White Sox | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 14 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Texas
Tampa Bay
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4 |
| 12978-13645 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 17.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Texas
Tampa Bay
| Sep 27 | at Minnesota (77-85) | L4-6 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | at Minnesota (77-85) | W6-2 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Minnesota (77-85) | L2-10 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 24 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W3-1 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 23 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L2-7 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L3-6 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs Toronto (79-83) | L2-7 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 19 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W6-2 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W7-1 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 17 | vs Boston (87-77) | L3-4 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |