Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Baltimore
Chicago
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
65
D
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
65
D
|
Baltimore
Chicago
| 15 | Overall | 13 |
| 19 | Power | 10 |
| 14 | Offensive | 5 |
| 20 | Defensive | 14 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 26 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 26 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Chi White Sox 55%, Baltimore 45% at Chi White Sox.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Baltimore has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Baltimore has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Baltimore has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At Chi White Sox |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 38% | 40% | 43% |
| Wk 4 | 31% | 33% | 35% |
| Wk 5 | 38% | 40% | 43% |
| Wk 6 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 28 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
Baltimore
Chicago
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
78-82 (48.8%) |
Overall |
88-81 (52.1%) |
|
38-42 (47.5%) |
Home |
48-35 (57.8%) |
|
40-40 (50%) |
Away |
40-46 (46.5%) |
|
14-20 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-13 (40.9%) |
|
29-46 (38.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-38 (40.6%) |
|
49-36 (57.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-43 (59%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Baltimore
Chicago
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #17 St. Louis | Largest MOV | 21 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 16 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #9 Boston |
Baltimore
Chicago
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.8 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.9 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 4.2 |
| 4.7 | Away RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4.7 |
| 13352-13072 | Opponent Record | 13745-14090 |
| 15.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 17 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Baltimore
Chicago
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L3-6 | Oct 10 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L0-2 |
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W10-2 | Oct 8 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L5-9 |
| Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 | Oct 7 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L3-9 |
| Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 | Oct 5 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W4-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-3 | Oct 3 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-0 |
| Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-1 | Sep 30 | at Houston (81-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L5-6 | Sep 29 | at Houston (81-83) | W6-3 |
| Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 | Sep 27 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W4-2 |
| Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 | Sep 26 | vs Colorado (58-104) | L6-9 |
| Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 | Sep 25 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W6-1 |