Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Stony Brook 63%, Delaware 37% at Stony Brook.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware is trending down — from 58% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.