Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St John's 84%, Syracuse 16% at St John's.
St John's' win probability against Syracuse has swung between 73% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
St John's' win probability against Syracuse has swung between 79% and 84% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
St John's' win probability against Syracuse has held at 84% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.