Tennessee at NC State Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tennessee by 1.98
TOTAL POINTS
150
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
Tennessee 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
Tennessee
| 50 | Overall | 17 |
| 34 | Power | 15 |
| 17 | Offensive | 59 |
| 90 | Defensive | 5 |
| 61 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Tennessee#1756%
NC State#5044%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Tennessee 56%, NC State 44% at NC State.
Tennessee's win probability against NC State has swung between 56% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Tennessee's win probability against NC State has swung between 63% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Tennessee's win probability against NC State has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tennessee favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 55% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 58% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 56% | 63% | 70% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
Tennessee
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
5-5 (50%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-11 (59.3%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-1 (90%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Tennessee
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #6 Houston |
| #176 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #97 Syracuse |
| 48 pts vs #335 NC Central | Largest MOV | 51 pts vs #346 S Carolina St |
| 41 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
Tennessee
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 78.8 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 69.6 |
| 84 | Home PPG | 85.6 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 66.5 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 72.7 |
| 83.6 | Away PA | 73.2 |
| 668-465 | Opponent Record | 774-490 |
| 88.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 81.9 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Tennessee
| Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 | Mar 29 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | L62-95 |
| Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 | Mar 27 | #12 Iowa St (29-8) | W76-62 |
| Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 | Mar 22 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W79-72 |
| Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 | Mar 20 | Miami OH (29-2) | W78-56 |
| Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 | Mar 13 | #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | L68-75 |
| Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 | Mar 12 | Auburn (22-16) | W72-62 |
| Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 | Mar 7 | vs #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | L82-86 |
| Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 | Mar 3 | at South Carolina (13-19) | W78-59 |
| Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 | Feb 28 | vs #14 Alabama (25-10) | L69-71 |
| Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 | Feb 24 | at Missouri (20-13) | L69-73 |