Predicted Order of Conference Finish Saturday, August 1, 2026
Teams are ordered by projected conference winning percentage. “Projected Record” (e.g. 6.1–2.9) is a team’s expected wins and losses: the sum of its game-by-game win probabilities across the conference schedule.
Appalachian Athletic Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Reinhardt
1
5.4–0.6
1
1
Pikeville
2
4.8–1.2
2
3
Kentucky Christian
3
2.9–3.1
3
6
Bluefield VA
4
2.5–3.5
4
5
Point U.
5
2.5–3.5
5
4
Union KY
6
2.3–3.7
6
2
Rio Grande
7
0.5–5.5
7
7
Frontier Conference
East Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Montana Tech
1
7.3–1.7
1
1
Dickinson St
2
5.5–3.5
2
4
Dakota St
3
4.8–3.2
4
2
Rocky Mountain
4
3.8–5.2
3
5
Valley City St
5
3.8–5.2
5
3
Mayville St
6
2.7–5.3
7
6
Montana St-Northern
7
1.6–9.4
6
7
West Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Montana-Western
1
8.3–1.7
1
4
Coll of Idaho
2
7.5–2.5
2
2
Carroll MT
3
6.6–3.4
4
1
Southern Oregon
4
5.5–3.5
3
5
Eastern Oregon
5
4.4–4.6
6
3
Arizona Christian
6
1.8–6.2
5
6
Simpson CA
7
0.4–8.6
7
7
Great Plains Athletic Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Morningside
1
8.8–1.2
1
3
Dordt
2
8.3–1.7
2
2
Northwestern IA
3
7.6–2.4
5
1
Midland U.
4
6.6–3.4
4
4
Concordia NE
5
5.9–4.1
3
7
Hastings
6
4.6–5.4
7
5
Mount Marty
7
4.0–6.0
6
9
Dakota Wesleyan
8
3.5–6.5
8
6
Briar Cliff
9
2.7–7.3
9
10
Doane
10
2.4–7.6
10
8
Waldorf
11
0.8–9.2
11
11
Heart of America Athletic Conference
North Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Grand View
1
10.3–0.7
1
1
William Penn
2
8.2–2.8
3
2
Graceland
3
7.4–3.6
2
4
Peru St
4
5.4–4.6
4
3
St Ambrose
5
3.6–6.4
6
5
Culver-Stockton
6
3.8–7.2
5
7
Clarke IA
7
2.4–7.6
8
6
Mount Mercy
8
1.9–8.1
7
8
South Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Benedictine KS
1
8.8–1.2
1
1
Baker
2
8.3–1.7
3
2
MidAmerica Nazarene
3
6.5–3.5
2
3
Missouri Baptist
4
4.7–5.3
4
4
Missouri Valley
5
2.7–7.3
5
5
Central Methodist
6
2.1–7.9
6
6
William Woods
7
1.0–9.0
7
7
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference (KCAC)
Bissell Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Friends
1
10.1–0.9
1
1
Southwestern KS
2
9.0–2.0
2
4
McPherson
3
8.8–2.2
3
3
Kansas Wesleyan
4
6.8–4.2
5
2
St Mary KS
5
3.5–7.5
4
5
Sterling
6
1.7–9.3
6
6
Kessinger Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Evangel
1
8.0–3.0
1
1
Ottawa KS
2
5.4–5.6
2
3
Tabor
3
5.2–5.8
3
2
Bethel KS
4
3.0–8.0
5
4
Avila
5
2.3–8.7
6
5
Bethany KS
6
2.2–8.8
4
6
Mid-South Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Lindsey Wilson
1
3.9–1.1
1
1
Campbellsville
2
2.9–2.1
2
4
Georgetown KY
3
2.6–2.4
5
2
Bethel TN
4
2.1–2.9
6
3
Cumberland TN
5
2.1–2.9
3
5
Cumberlands KY
6
1.5–3.5
4
6
Mid-States Football Association
Mideast League
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Indiana Wesleyan
1
8.7–1.3
1
1
Taylor
2
5.8–3.2
2
2
Lawrence Tech
3
3.5–6.5
4
3
Defiance
4
2.6–7.4
3
4
Madonna
5
1.6–8.4
5
5
Midwest League
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Marian IN
1
8.6–1.4
1
1
Olivet Nazarene
2
7.3–2.7
3
4
St Francis IN
3
6.7–3.3
2
5
St Xavier
4
6.0–4.0
5
2
St Francis IL
5
5.3–3.7
4
3
St Mary-Woods
6
1.7–8.3
6
6
Judson IL
7
1.1–8.9
7
7
NAIA Independents
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Faulkner
1
1.7–0.3
2
1
Andrew
2
0.3–1.7
1
2
Sooner Athletic Conference (SAC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Ottawa AZ
1
5.1–0.9
2
1
Texas Wesleyan
2
6.7–1.3
1
2
Louisiana Christian
3
5.9–2.1
3
3
Wayland Baptist
4
4.2–3.8
4
5
Langston
5
3.9–4.1
5
6
OK Panhandle St
6
3.0–5.0
8
4
Nelson TX
7
2.2–3.8
6
7
Texas College
8
1.6–4.4
7
8
Arkansas Baptist
9
0.5–7.5
9
9
Sun Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Keiser
1
6.2–0.8
2
1
St Thomas FL
2
5.5–1.5
1
3
Southeastern FL
3
4.8–2.2
4
2
Florida Memorial
4
4.4–2.6
3
5
Webber Int'l
5
3.0–4.0
5
4
Ave Maria
6
1.9–5.1
7
6
Warner U.
7
1.7–5.3
6
7
Thomas GA
8
0.4–6.6
8
8
NAIA College Football
We play the game before the game.
These are projections. Want a real prediction? Plug in any two teams and run the matchup yourself.
