Predicted Order of Conference Finish Saturday, August 1, 2026
Teams are ordered by projected conference wins. “Projected Record” (e.g. 5.1–3.9) is a team’s expected wins and losses — the sum of its game-by-game win probabilities across the conference schedule.
Appalachian Athletic Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Reinhardt
1
4.7–1.3
1
1
Pikeville
2
4.2–1.8
2
3
Kentucky Christian
3
2.9–3.1
3
5
Bluefield VA
4
2.7–3.3
4
6
Point U.
5
2.7–3.3
5
4
Union KY
6
2.6–3.4
6
2
Rio Grande
7
1.3–4.7
7
7
Frontier Conference
East Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Montana Tech
1
6.4–2.6
1
1
Dickinson St
2
5.1–3.9
2
4
Dakota St
3
4.5–3.5
4
2
Valley City St
4
4.1–4.9
5
3
Rocky Mountain
5
4.0–5.0
3
5
Mayville St
6
3.1–4.9
7
6
Montana St-Northern
7
2.9–8.1
6
7
West Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Montana-Western
1
7.3–2.7
1
4
Coll of Idaho
2
6.8–3.2
2
2
Carroll MT
3
6.2–3.8
4
1
Southern Oregon
4
5.4–3.6
3
5
Eastern Oregon
5
4.5–4.5
6
3
Arizona Christian
6
2.5–5.5
5
6
Simpson CA
7
1.2–7.8
7
7
Great Plains Athletic Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Morningside
1
7.8–2.2
1
3
Dordt
2
7.4–2.6
2
2
Northwestern IA
3
6.7–3.3
5
1
Midland U.
4
6.1–3.9
4
4
Concordia NE
5
5.6–4.4
3
7
Hastings
6
4.7–5.3
7
5
Mount Marty
7
4.3–5.7
6
9
Dakota Wesleyan
8
4.0–6.0
8
6
Briar Cliff
9
3.4–6.6
9
10
Doane
10
3.1–6.9
10
8
Waldorf
11
1.9–8.1
11
11
Heart of America Athletic Conference
North Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Grand View
1
9.3–1.7
1
1
William Penn
2
7.2–3.8
3
2
Graceland
3
6.7–4.3
2
4
Peru St
4
5.2–4.8
4
3
Culver-Stockton
5
4.3–6.7
6
7
St Ambrose
6
4.0–6.0
5
5
Clarke IA
7
3.1–6.9
8
6
Mount Mercy
8
2.8–7.2
7
8
South Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Benedictine KS
1
7.8–2.2
1
1
Baker
2
7.4–2.6
2
2
MidAmerica Nazarene
3
6.0–4.0
3
3
Missouri Baptist
4
4.8–5.2
4
4
Missouri Valley
5
3.4–6.6
5
5
Central Methodist
6
2.9–7.1
6
6
William Woods
7
2.1–7.9
7
7
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference (KCAC)
Bissell Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Friends
1
9.1–1.9
1
1
Southwestern KS
2
8.2–2.8
2
4
McPherson
3
7.9–3.1
3
3
Kansas Wesleyan
4
6.4–4.6
5
2
St Mary KS
5
3.9–7.1
4
5
Sterling
6
2.7–8.3
6
6
Kessinger Division
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Evangel
1
7.3–3.7
1
1
Ottawa KS
2
5.3–5.7
2
3
Tabor
3
5.2–5.8
3
2
Bethel KS
4
3.7–7.3
5
4
Avila
5
3.2–7.8
6
5
Bethany KS
6
3.1–7.9
4
6
Mid-South Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Lindsey Wilson
1
3.3–1.7
1
1
Campbellsville
2
2.7–2.3
2
4
Georgetown KY
3
2.5–2.5
5
2
Cumberland TN
4
2.3–2.7
3
5
Bethel TN
5
2.3–2.7
6
3
Cumberlands KY
6
1.9–3.1
4
6
Mid-States Football Association
Mideast League
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Indiana Wesleyan
1
7.8–2.2
1
1
Taylor
2
5.6–3.4
2
2
Lawrence Tech
3
4.0–6.0
4
3
Defiance
4
3.3–6.7
3
4
Madonna
5
2.4–7.6
5
5
Midwest League
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Marian IN
1
7.6–2.4
1
1
Olivet Nazarene
2
6.7–3.3
3
4
St Francis IN
3
6.3–3.7
2
5
St Xavier
4
5.8–4.2
5
2
St Francis IL
5
5.1–3.9
4
3
St Mary-Woods
6
2.5–7.5
6
6
Judson IL
7
2.0–8.0
7
7
NAIA Independents
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Faulkner
1
1.4–0.6
2
1
Andrew
2
0.6–1.4
1
2
Sooner Athletic Conference (SAC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Texas Wesleyan
1
5.9–2.1
1
2
Louisiana Christian
2
5.3–2.7
3
3
Ottawa AZ
3
4.5–1.5
2
1
Wayland Baptist
4
4.2–3.8
4
5
Langston
5
3.9–4.1
5
6
OK Panhandle St
6
3.3–4.7
8
4
Nelson TX
7
2.5–3.5
6
7
Texas College
8
2.1–3.9
7
8
Arkansas Baptist
9
1.4–6.6
9
9
Sun Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Keiser
1
5.5–1.5
2
1
St Thomas FL
2
5.0–2.0
1
3
Southeastern FL
3
4.5–2.5
4
2
Florida Memorial
4
4.2–2.8
3
4
Webber Int'l
5
3.2–3.8
5
5
Ave Maria
6
2.3–4.7
7
6
Warner U.
7
2.2–4.8
6
7
Thomas GA
8
1.2–5.8
8
8
NAIA College Football
Numbers over noise.
These are projections. Want a real prediction? Plug in any two teams and run the matchup yourself.
