Predicted Order of Conference Finish Saturday, August 1, 2026
Teams are ordered by projected conference winning percentage. “Projected Record” (e.g. 6.1–2.9) is a team’s expected wins and losses: the sum of its game-by-game win probabilities across the conference schedule.
Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association (CIAA)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Virginia Union
1
6.9–1.1
1
3
Johnson C. Smith
2
6.4–1.6
3
1
Fayetteville St
3
5.8–2.2
4
2
Virginia St
4
5.4–2.6
5
4
Winston-Salem St
5
4.9–3.1
2
6
Elizabeth City St
6
3.5–4.5
7
8
Bowie St
7
3.3–4.7
8
5
Livingstone
8
2.9–5.1
9
7
Shaw
9
2.4–5.6
10
9
Lincoln PA
10
1.3–6.7
11
10
Bluefield St WV
11
1.1–6.9
6
11
Conference Carolinas
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
UNC-Pembroke
1
5.5–0.5
1
1
North Greenville
2
4.7–1.3
2
2
Shorter
3
3.1–2.9
3
4
Barton
4
2.7–3.3
5
3
Chowan
5
2.6–3.4
4
5
Erskine
6
1.4–4.6
6
6
Ferrum
7
1.0–5.0
7
7
Great American Conference (GAC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Harding
1
10.5–0.5
1
1
Southern Arkansas
2
8.1–2.9
2
3
Ouachita Baptist
3
8.0–3.0
3
2
Henderson St
4
7.8–3.2
4
4
Arkansas Tech
5
6.0–5.0
6
5
SE Oklahoma St
6
5.6–5.4
8
6
SW Oklahoma St
7
5.2–5.8
5
7
East Central OK
8
4.2–6.8
7
8
Southern Nazarene
9
3.8–7.2
9
9
Oklahoma Baptist
10
2.9–8.1
10
10
Arkansas-Monticello
11
2.2–8.8
11
11
NW Oklahoma St
12
1.5–9.5
12
12
Great Lakes Intercollegiate Athletic Conference (GLIAC)
