Predicted Order of Conference Finish Saturday, August 1, 2026
Teams are ordered by projected conference wins. “Projected Record” (e.g. 5.1–3.9) is a team’s expected wins and losses — the sum of its game-by-game win probabilities across the conference schedule.
Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association (CIAA)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Virginia Union
1
6.0–2.0
1
3
Johnson C. Smith
2
5.6–2.4
4
1
Fayetteville St
3
5.2–2.8
3
2
Virginia St
4
4.9–3.1
5
4
Winston-Salem St
5
4.6–3.4
2
6
Elizabeth City St
6
3.7–4.3
7
8
Bowie St
7
3.6–4.4
8
5
Livingstone
8
3.4–4.6
9
7
Shaw
9
2.9–5.1
10
9
Lincoln PA
10
2.1–5.9
11
10
Bluefield St WV
11
2.0–6.0
6
11
Conference Carolinas
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
UNC-Pembroke
1
4.7–1.3
1
1
North Greenville
2
4.1–1.9
2
2
Shorter
3
3.0–3.0
3
4
Barton
4
2.8–3.2
5
3
Chowan
5
2.7–3.3
4
5
Erskine
6
1.9–4.1
6
6
Ferrum
7
1.7–4.3
7
7
Great American Conference (GAC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Harding
1
9.4–1.6
1
1
Southern Arkansas
2
7.2–3.8
2
3
Ouachita Baptist
3
7.2–3.8
3
2
Henderson St
4
7.0–4.0
4
4
Arkansas Tech
5
5.7–5.3
6
6
SE Oklahoma St
6
5.5–5.5
8
5
SW Oklahoma St
7
5.3–5.7
5
7
East Central OK
8
4.7–6.3
7
8
Southern Nazarene
9
4.4–6.6
9
9
Oklahoma Baptist
10
3.8–7.2
10
10
Arkansas-Monticello
11
3.3–7.7
11
11
NW Oklahoma St
12
2.8–8.2
12
12
Great Lakes Intercollegiate Athletic Conference (GLIAC)
