Predicted Order of Conference Finish Saturday, August 1, 2026
Teams are ordered by projected conference wins. “Projected Record” (e.g. 5.1–3.9) is a team’s expected wins and losses — the sum of its game-by-game win probabilities across the conference schedule.
American Rivers Conference (ARC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Wartburg
1
5.4–1.6
2
1
Coe
2
5.0–2.0
1
2
Central IA
3
4.7–2.3
3
3
Dubuque
4
3.4–3.6
4
4
Simpson IA
5
3.0–4.0
6
5
Loras
6
2.5–4.5
5
7
Nebraska Wesleyan
7
2.3–4.7
7
6
Buena Vista
8
1.7–5.3
8
8
American Southwest Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Hardin-Simmons
1
3.7–1.3
1
2
Mary Hardin-Baylor
2
3.6–1.4
2
1
McMurry
3
2.1–2.9
5
3
East Texas Baptist
4
2.0–3.0
3
4
Schreiner
5
1.8–3.2
4
5
Howard Payne
6
1.8–3.2
6
6
Centennial Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Johns Hopkins
1
5.3–1.7
1
1
Carnegie Mellon
2
4.8–2.2
3
2
Muhlenberg
3
4.0–3.0
2
5
Franklin & Marshall
4
4.0–3.0
5
3
Ursinus
5
3.7–3.3
4
4
Dickinson
6
3.0–4.0
6
6
Gettysburg
7
1.8–5.2
7
8
McDaniel
8
1.3–5.7
8
7
College Conference of Illinois and Wisconsin (CCIW)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
North Central
1
7.3–0.7
1
1
Wheaton
2
6.2–1.8
2
2
Illinois Wesleyan
3
4.3–3.7
3
6
Augustana IL
4
4.2–3.8
4
5
Carroll WI
5
4.1–3.9
5
3
Carthage
6
3.0–5.0
7
4
North Park
7
3.0–5.0
6
7
Millikin
8
2.2–5.8
8
8
Elmhurst
9
1.7–6.3
9
9
Conference of New England (CNE)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Endicott
1
5.8–1.2
1
1
Western New England
2
5.0–2.0
2
2
Curry
3
4.3–2.7
4
4
U of New England
4
4.3–2.7
3
5
Husson
5
4.0–3.0
6
3
Nichols
6
2.6–4.4
5
7
New England Coll
7
1.1–5.9
7
6
Maine Maritime
8
0.8–6.2
8
8
Empire 8
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Cortland St
1
5.6–1.4
1
1
Brockport St
2
5.0–2.0
2
2
Utica
3
4.7–2.3
3
3
St John Fisher
4
3.4–3.6
5
4
Alfred
5
3.0–4.0
4
6
Morrisville St
6
2.4–4.6
8
5
Alfred St
7
2.4–4.6
6
7
Hartwick
8
1.5–5.5
7
8
Heartland Collegiate Athletic Conference
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Hanover
1
4.9–1.1
2
1
Mt St Joseph
2
4.4–1.6
1
2
Franklin
3
3.3–2.7
3
4
Rose-Hulman
4
3.1–2.9
5
3
Bluffton
5
2.7–3.3
4
5
Anderson IN
6
1.3–4.7
7
6
Manchester
7
1.2–4.8
6
7
Landmark
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Susquehanna
1
5.1–0.9
1
1
Wilkes
2
3.7–2.3
3
2
Western Conn St
3
3.2–2.8
2
5
Lycoming
4
3.1–2.9
4
3
Moravian
5
2.5–3.5
5
4
Catholic
6
2.1–3.9
6
6
Juniata
7
1.3–4.7
7
7
Liberty League
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
Ithaca
1
5.0–2.0
2
1
RPI
2
4.9–2.1
1
4
Hobart
3
4.6–2.4
3
2
Union NY
4
4.4–2.6
4
3
Rochester
5
3.6–3.4
5
5
St Lawrence
6
2.6–4.4
6
6
Buffalo St
7
2.0–5.0
7
7
Hilbert
8
0.9–6.1
8
8
Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference (MSCAC)
Team
Order of FinishFinish
Projected RecordProj W–L
OffenseOff
DefenseDef
UMass-Dartmouth
1
5.7–2.3
1
2
Plymouth St
2
5.2–3.8
2
7
Framingham St
3
4.8–4.2
4
3
Mass Maritime
4
4.8–4.2
8
1
Bridgewater St MA
5
4.8–3.2
3
4
Westfield St
6
4.4–4.6
6
6
Worcester St
7
3.5–4.5
5
8
Fitchburg St
8
3.4–4.6
7
5
Dean
9
1.5–6.5
9
9
Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association (MIAA)