Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Virginia 96%, William & Mary 4% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against William & Mary has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against William & Mary has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against William & Mary has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.