Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: VCU 79%, NC Central 21% at VCU.
VCU's win probability against NC Central has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
VCU's win probability against NC Central is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
VCU's win probability against NC Central has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.