Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Carolina 85%, Oklahoma 15% at South Carolina.
South Carolina's win probability against Oklahoma has swung between 76% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 76% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Oklahoma has swung between 80% and 85% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 81% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Oklahoma has held at 85% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.