Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Indiana 61%, Penn St 39% at Penn St.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.