Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Ohio St 58%, Iowa 42% at Ohio St.
Ohio St's win probability against Iowa is trending up — from 42% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Ohio St's win probability against Iowa has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ohio St's win probability against Iowa is trending up — from 55% to 58% over the last 6 updates.