Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Ohio St 71%, Illinois 29% at Ohio St.
Ohio St's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 62% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Ohio St's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Ohio St's win probability against Illinois has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.