Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Michigan 69%, Nebraska 31% at Nebraska.
Michigan's win probability against Nebraska has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Michigan's win probability against Nebraska is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Nebraska has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.