Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Mississippi St 50%, Virginia 50% at Mississippi St.
Mississippi St's win probability against Virginia has held at 37% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mississippi St's win probability against Virginia has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mississippi St's win probability against Virginia has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.