Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Chicago
Tampa Bay
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
94
A
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Chicago
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
Chicago
Tampa Bay
| 13 | Overall | 3 |
| 10 | Power | 6 |
| 5 | Offensive | 9 |
| 14 | Defensive | 6 |
| 26 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 26 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 55%, Chi White Sox 45% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Chi White Sox has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Chi White Sox has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Chi White Sox has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Chi White Sox | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 64% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 17 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
Chicago
Tampa Bay
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
88-81 (52.1%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
48-35 (57.8%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
40-46 (46.5%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
9-13 (40.9%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
26-38 (40.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
62-43 (59%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Chicago
Tampa Bay
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 21 runs vs #26 Kansas City | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 12 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Chicago
Tampa Bay
| 4.8 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.9 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.2 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.6 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.7 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13745-14090 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 17 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Chicago
Tampa Bay
| Oct 10 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L0-2 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Oct 8 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L5-9 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Oct 7 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L3-9 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Oct 5 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W4-3 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Oct 3 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-0 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 30 | at Houston (81-83) | W7-3 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 29 | at Houston (81-83) | W6-3 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 27 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W4-2 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs Colorado (58-104) | L6-9 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 25 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W6-1 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |