Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
St. Louis
Chicago
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
77
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
St. Louis
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
76
C
6099
|
Defensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
St. Louis
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
St. Louis
Chicago
| 17 | Overall | 7 |
| 18 | Power | 3 |
| 17 | Offensive | 2 |
| 18 | Defensive | 10 |
| 4 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 4 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Chi Cubs 55%, St. Louis 45% at St. Louis.
Chi Cubs' win probability against St. Louis has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against St. Louis has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against St. Louis has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At St. Louis | Neutral | At Chi Cubs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 8 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 16 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 25 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 27 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 28 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 29 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 30 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 31 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 32 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
St. Louis
Chicago
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Head to Head |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
77-85 (47.5%) |
Overall |
89-75 (54.3%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Home |
46-35 (56.8%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
14-17 (45.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-17 (45.2%) |
|
41-45 (47.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
41-36 (53.2%) |
|
36-40 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
48-39 (55.2%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
St. Louis
Chicago
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 16 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOV | 20 runs vs #6 San Diego |
| 12 runs vs #15 Baltimore | Largest MOD | 16 runs vs #17 St. Louis |
St. Louis
Chicago
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 5.2 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 3.8 | Home RPG | 5.2 |
| 4.6 | Home RA | 4.5 |
| 5.1 | Away RPG | 5.1 |
| 4.6 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 13632-13074 | Opponent Record | 13704-13330 |
| 13.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 2 |
St. Louis
Chicago
| Sep 27 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-6 | Sep 30 | at San Diego (94-74) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 | Sep 29 | at San Diego (94-74) | L0-8 |
| Sep 25 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-8 | Sep 27 | at Boston (87-77) | W6-2 |
| Sep 24 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L1-2 | Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L0-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | W5-1 | Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L3-4 |
| Sep 22 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L0-2 | Sep 24 | vs Miami (80-82) | W2-1 |
| Sep 20 | vs Washington (77-85) | W5-3 | Sep 23 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs Washington (77-85) | L5-8 | Sep 22 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-8 |
| Sep 18 | vs Washington (77-85) | L1-9 | Sep 20 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W9-1 |
| Sep 16 | vs San Francisco (65-97) | L5-6 | Sep 19 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W5-2 |