Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Seattle
Tampa Bay
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Seattle
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Seattle
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
Seattle
Tampa Bay
| 25 | Overall | 3 |
| 26 | Power | 8 |
| 29 | Offensive | 9 |
| 21 | Defensive | 7 |
| 24 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 25 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Wk 26 (Sep 16), 2026: Tampa Bay 55%, Seattle 45% at Seattle.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Seattle has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Seattle has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Seattle has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Seattle | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 37% | 39% | 42% |
| Wk 2 | 16% | 18% | 20% |
| Wk 3 | 34% | 37% | 39% |
| Wk 4 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 11 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 25 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
Seattle
Tampa Bay
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Head to Head |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
70-82 (46.1%) |
Overall |
91-59 (60.7%) |
|
40-35 (53.3%) |
Home |
51-25 (67.1%) |
|
30-47 (39%) |
Away |
40-34 (54.1%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-9 (50%) |
|
32-34 (48.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
34-21 (61.8%) |
|
38-48 (44.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
57-38 (60%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Seattle
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 18 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 22 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Seattle
Tampa Bay
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 3.8 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 3.9 | Home RA | 4.1 |
| 4.3 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 5 | Away RA | 4.1 |
| 11403-11584 | Opponent Record | 11230-11482 |
| 16.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.2 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 4 |
Seattle
Tampa Bay
| Sep 15 | at LA Angels (58-93) | L1-2 | Sep 15 | vs Athletics (61-90) | W2-1 |
| Sep 14 | at LA Angels (58-93) | L4-6 | Sep 13 | vs Houston (76-75) | W14-4 |
| Sep 13 | at Athletics (61-90) | L7-8 | Sep 12 | vs Houston (76-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 12 | at Athletics (61-90) | W19-1 | Sep 11 | vs Houston (76-75) | W3-1 |
| Sep 11 | at Athletics (61-90) | L5-6 | Sep 10 | at #4 Atlanta (89-63) | L1-3 |
| Sep 10 | vs Texas (75-76) | W4-3 | Sep 9 | at #4 Atlanta (89-63) | W7-2 |
| Sep 9 | vs Texas (75-76) | W3-2 | Sep 8 | at #4 Atlanta (89-63) | W7-1 |
| Sep 8 | vs Texas (75-76) | L5-10 | Sep 6 | at Texas (75-76) | L6-8 |
| Sep 6 | vs Athletics (61-90) | W2-0 | Sep 5 | at Texas (75-76) | W6-3 |
| Sep 5 | vs Athletics (61-90) | L2-6 | Sep 4 | at Texas (75-76) | W7-6 |
vs
Major League Baseball