Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Seattle
Chicago
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Seattle
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Seattle
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
88
B+
|
Seattle
Chicago
| 25 | Overall | 6 |
| 25 | Power | 3 |
| 29 | Offensive | 1 |
| 21 | Defensive | 9 |
| 23 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 25 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Chi Cubs 59%, Seattle 41% at Seattle.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Seattle has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Seattle has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Seattle has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Seattle | Neutral | At Chi Cubs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 22% | 23% | 26% |
| Wk 2 | 29% | 31% | 34% |
| Wk 3 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 57% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 25 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 26 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
Seattle
Chicago
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
70-81 (46.4%) |
Overall |
84-67 (55.6%) |
|
40-35 (53.3%) |
Home |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
30-46 (39.5%) |
Away |
40-35 (53.3%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
33-36 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
39-34 (53.4%) |
|
37-45 (45.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
45-33 (57.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Seattle
Chicago
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 18 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 20 runs vs #9 San Diego |
| 22 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 16 runs vs #14 St. Louis |
Seattle
Chicago
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 5.3 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 3.8 | Home RPG | 5.4 |
| 3.9 | Home RA | 4.5 |
| 4.3 | Away RPG | 5.3 |
| 5 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 11264-11421 | Opponent Record | 11434-11263 |
| 16.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.7 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Seattle
Chicago
| Sep 14 | at LA Angels (57-93) | L4-6 | Sep 14 | vs #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-3 |
| Sep 13 | at Athletics (61-89) | L7-8 | Sep 13 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | L3-4 |
| Sep 12 | at Athletics (61-89) | W19-1 | Sep 12 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | W4-3 |
| Sep 11 | at Athletics (61-89) | L5-6 | Sep 11 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | W12-2 |
| Sep 10 | vs Texas (74-76) | W4-3 | Sep 9 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L6-8 |
| Sep 9 | vs Texas (74-76) | W3-2 | Sep 8 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L3-4 |
| Sep 8 | vs Texas (74-76) | L5-10 | Sep 7 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L3-4 |
| Sep 6 | vs Athletics (61-89) | W2-0 | Sep 6 | at Miami (74-77) | L3-10 |
| Sep 5 | vs Athletics (61-89) | L2-6 | Sep 5 | at Miami (74-77) | W6-5 |
| Sep 4 | vs Athletics (61-89) | L6-7 | Sep 4 | at Miami (74-77) | W6-1 |
vs
Major League Baseball