Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 32 (Oct 31), 2026: Seattle 50%, Baltimore 50% at Seattle.
Seattle's win probability against Baltimore has held at 44% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Seattle's win probability against Baltimore has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Seattle's win probability against Baltimore has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.