Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Baltimore
New York
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
New York
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
New York
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
Baltimore
New York
| 15 | Overall | 5 |
| 19 | Power | 4 |
| 14 | Offensive | 7 |
| 20 | Defensive | 3 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 20 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 20 |
Wk 32 (Oct 31), 2026: NY Yankees 60%, Baltimore 40% at NY Yankees.
NY Yankees' win probability against Baltimore has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NY Yankees' win probability against Baltimore has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NY Yankees' win probability against Baltimore has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At NY Yankees |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 74% | 76% | 78% |
| Wk 4 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 5 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 10 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 11 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 12 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 13 | 64% | 66% | 69% |
| Wk 14 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 15 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 25 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 27 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 28 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 29 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 30 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 31 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 32 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
Baltimore
New York
|
3-9 (25%) |
Head to Head |
9-3 (75%) |
|
78-82 (48.8%) |
Overall |
95-71 (57.2%) |
|
38-42 (47.5%) |
Home |
48-35 (57.8%) |
|
40-40 (50%) |
Away |
47-36 (56.6%) |
|
14-20 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-16 (36%) |
|
29-46 (38.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
34-34 (50%) |
|
49-36 (57.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
61-37 (62.2%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Baltimore
New York
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 12 runs vs #17 St. Louis | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #9 Boston |
| 16 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 10 runs vs #22 NY Mets |
Baltimore
New York
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 3.7 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.7 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 3.4 |
| 13352-13072 | Opponent Record | 13706-13672 |
| 15.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.6 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Baltimore
New York
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L3-6 | Oct 7 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-4 |
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W10-2 | Oct 5 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L2-5 |
| Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 | Oct 3 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L0-1 |
| Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 | Sep 30 | vs Boston (87-77) | W9-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-3 | Sep 29 | vs Boston (87-77) | W9-0 |
| Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-1 | Sep 25 | vs Baltimore (79-82) | W6-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L5-6 | Sep 25 | vs Baltimore (79-82) | L2-10 |
| Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 | Sep 24 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W6-4 |
| Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 | Sep 23 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W9-2 |
| Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 | Sep 22 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-6 |