Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Cincinnati
Chicago
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
65
D
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
65
D
|
Cincinnati
Chicago
| 20 | Overall | 13 |
| 28 | Power | 10 |
| 25 | Offensive | 5 |
| 28 | Defensive | 14 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 26 |
| 1 | SoS (Full Season) | 26 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Chi White Sox 61%, Cincinnati 39% at Chi White Sox.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi White Sox's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Chi White Sox |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 38% | 40% | 43% |
| Wk 4 | 33% | 36% | 38% |
| Wk 5 | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Wk 6 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 13 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 16 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 25 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 27 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 28 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 29 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 30 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 31 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 32 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
Cincinnati
Chicago
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
75-87 (46.3%) |
Overall |
88-81 (52.1%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Home |
48-35 (57.8%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Away |
40-46 (46.5%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-13 (40.9%) |
|
36-52 (40.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-38 (40.6%) |
|
39-35 (52.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-43 (59%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Cincinnati
Chicago
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 14 runs vs #18 Washington | Largest MOV | 21 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #9 Boston |
Cincinnati
Chicago
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.8 |
| 5.1 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4 | Home RPG | 4.9 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4.2 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.6 |
| 5.5 | Away RA | 4.7 |
| 13724-13017 | Opponent Record | 13745-14090 |
| 13.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 17 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Cincinnati
Chicago
| Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 | Oct 10 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L0-2 |
| Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 | Oct 8 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L5-9 |
| Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 | Oct 7 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L3-9 |
| Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 | Oct 5 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W4-3 |
| Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 | Oct 3 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-0 |
| Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 | Sep 30 | at Houston (81-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 | Sep 29 | at Houston (81-83) | W6-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 | Sep 27 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W4-2 |
| Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 | Sep 26 | vs Colorado (58-104) | L6-9 |
| Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Sep 25 | vs Colorado (58-104) | W6-1 |