Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
New York
Arizona
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
73
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
New York
Arizona
| 23 | Overall | 10 |
| 18 | Power | 15 |
| 20 | Offensive | 18 |
| 17 | Defensive | 14 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 2 | SoS (Future) | 16 |
Wk 26 (Sep 17), 2026: Arizona 54%, NY Mets 46% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against NY Mets has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against NY Mets has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against NY Mets has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At NY Mets | Neutral | At Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 1 | 27% | 29% | 32% |
| Wk 2 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 5 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 6 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 12 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
New York
Arizona
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
69-83 (45.4%) |
Overall |
80-73 (52.3%) |
|
34-43 (44.2%) |
Home |
43-35 (55.1%) |
|
35-40 (46.7%) |
Away |
37-38 (49.3%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
30-44 (40.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
31-38 (44.9%) |
|
39-39 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
49-35 (58.3%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
New York
Arizona
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 12 runs vs #7 Philadelphia | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
New York
Arizona
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.6 | Home RA | 4.3 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.5 |
| 11812-11363 | Opponent Record | 11646-11664 |
| 13.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.4 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 2 |
New York
Arizona
| Sep 16 | vs Baltimore (75-78) | L1-7 | Sep 16 | vs Miami (76-77) | L3-4 |
| Sep 15 | vs Baltimore (75-78) | L5-7 | Sep 15 | vs Miami (76-77) | L2-4 |
| Sep 14 | vs Baltimore (75-78) | L1-2 | Sep 14 | vs Miami (76-77) | W8-7 |
| Sep 13 | at #5 NY Yankees (88-64) | L0-2 | Sep 13 | vs Texas (76-76) | L6-7 |
| Sep 12 | at #5 NY Yankees (88-64) | W12-2 | Sep 12 | vs Texas (76-76) | L2-6 |
| Sep 11 | at #5 NY Yankees (88-64) | L4-6 | Sep 11 | vs Texas (76-76) | W9-1 |
| Sep 9 | at Miami (76-77) | W15-14 | Sep 9 | at Kansas City (67-85) | L2-5 |
| Sep 8 | at Miami (76-77) | W7-5 | Sep 8 | at Kansas City (67-85) | W5-3 |
| Sep 7 | at Miami (76-77) | W9-4 | Sep 7 | at Kansas City (67-85) | W5-4 |
| Sep 6 | vs San Francisco (64-89) | W4-2 | Sep 6 | at Houston (76-76) | W3-2 |
vs
Major League Baseball