Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Massachusetts 64%, Ball St 36% at Massachusetts.
Massachusetts' win probability against Ball St has swung between 46% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Massachusetts' win probability against Ball St has swung between 52% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Massachusetts' win probability against Ball St has swung between 59% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.