Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Missouri St
Xavier
|
76
C
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
76
C
6099
|
Offensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Missouri St
6099
Xavier
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
Missouri St
6099
Xavier
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
95
A
|
Missouri St
Xavier
| 220 | Overall | 89 |
| 188 | Power | 91 |
| 213 | Offensive | 40 |
| 174 | Defensive | 215 |
| 154 | SoS (Current) | 40 |
| 154 | SoS (Future) | 40 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Xavier 87%, Missouri St 13% at Xavier.
Xavier's win probability against Missouri St is trending down — from 77% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Xavier's win probability against Missouri St is trending down — from 84% to 81% over the last 6 weeks.
Xavier's win probability against Missouri St has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Missouri St | Neutral | At Xavier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 2 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 9 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 10 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 11 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 12 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 77% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 14 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 16 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 17 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 21 | 73% | 80% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
Missouri St
Xavier
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-18 (41.9%) |
Overall |
15-18 (45.5%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Home |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
1-10 (9.1%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-7 (0%) |
|
4-13 (23.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-14 (26.3%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Missouri St
Xavier
| #81 Liberty | Best Win | #47 West Virginia |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #105 Marquette |
| 24 pts vs #260 UTEP | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #261 Old Dominion |
| 24 pts vs #46 Tulsa | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #80 Creighton |
Missouri St
Xavier
| 73.1 | Points per Game | 78.4 |
| 74.3 | Points Against | 80.6 |
| 75.1 | Home PPG | 80.6 |
| 73.7 | Home PA | 77.8 |
| 70.8 | Away PPG | 74.9 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 84.9 |
| 481-463 | Opponent Record | 632-475 |
| 177.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 94.7 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Missouri St
Xavier
| Mar 13 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L66-69 | Mar 12 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L68-93 |
| Mar 11 | Liberty (23-8) | W77-69 | Mar 11 | Marquette (12-20) | W89-87 |
| Mar 10 | Florida Intl (12-17) | W75-72 | Mar 7 | at #25 Villanova (24-9) | L78-91 |
| Mar 7 | vs MTSU (14-15) | L63-75 | Mar 3 | vs Seton Hall (21-12) | L68-77 |
| Mar 5 | vs WKU (16-14) | W87-74 | Feb 28 | vs Georgetown (16-18) | W91-84 |
| Feb 28 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L81-86 | Feb 25 | at Providence (15-18) | L84-94 |
| Feb 26 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L70-72 | Feb 21 | at Butler (16-16) | L75-80 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | L67-70 | Feb 17 | vs #25 Villanova (24-9) | L89-92 |
| Feb 18 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | L87-91 | Feb 14 | vs Marquette (12-20) | W96-88 |
| Feb 14 | vs Delaware (10-20) | L67-76 | Feb 9 | at #7 St John's (30-7) | L82-87 |
vs
College Basketball