NC State at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 5.8
TOTAL POINTS
156
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
Virginia 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
Virginia
| 50 | Overall | 12 |
| 34 | Power | 18 |
| 17 | Offensive | 39 |
| 90 | Defensive | 22 |
| 61 | SoS (Current) | 66 |
| 57 | SoS (Full Season) | 61 |
Virginia#1265%
NC State#5035%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Virginia 65%, NC State 35% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against NC State has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against NC State has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against NC State has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 53% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 56% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 54% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 54% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 54% | 61% | 67% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
Virginia
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
30-6 (83.3%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
16-1 (94.1%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
18-6 (75%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Virginia
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #27 Louisville |
| #176 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #85 Butler |
| 48 pts vs #335 NC Central | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #274 American Univ |
| 41 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #3 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
Virginia
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 80.4 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 84 | Home PPG | 83.3 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 64.1 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 77.9 |
| 83.6 | Away PA | 72.9 |
| 668-465 | Opponent Record | 667-527 |
| 88.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 106.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Virginia
| Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 | Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 |
| Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 | Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 |
| Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 | Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 |
| Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 | Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 |
| Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 | Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 |
| Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 | Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 |
| Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 | Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 |
| Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 | Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 |
| Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 | Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 |
| Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 | Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 |