Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
UNC Asheville
6099
Lipscomb
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
UNC Asheville
6099
Lipscomb
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
70
C-
|
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
| 246 | Overall | 193 |
| 239 | Power | 220 |
| 291 | Offensive | 191 |
| 150 | Defensive | 245 |
| 222 | SoS (Current) | 270 |
| 222 | SoS (Future) | 270 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UNC Asheville 55%, Lipscomb 45% at UNC Asheville.
UNC Asheville's win probability against Lipscomb is trending up — from 30% to 36% over the last 6 weeks.
UNC Asheville's win probability against Lipscomb is trending up — from 40% to 45% over the last 6 weeks.
UNC Asheville's win probability against Lipscomb is trending up — from 49% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Lipscomb | Neutral | At UNC Asheville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 18% | 26% | 34% |
| Wk 1 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 3 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 4 | 21% | 29% | 38% |
| Wk 5 | 22% | 30% | 40% |
| Wk 6 | 27% | 36% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 19% | 26% | 35% |
| Wk 8 | 20% | 28% | 37% |
| Wk 9 | 17% | 24% | 33% |
| Wk 10 | 23% | 32% | 41% |
| Wk 11 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 12 | 29% | 38% | 47% |
| Wk 13 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 14 | 31% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 15 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 17 | 32% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 30% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 19 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 20 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 23 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
17-13 (56.7%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-12 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-5 (72.2%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
| #183 Appalachian St | Best Win | #138 Austin Peay |
| #288 Charleston So | Worst Loss | #298 Stetson |
| 19 pts vs #358 Gardner Webb | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #256 Alabama A&M |
| 26 pts vs #74 High Point | Largest MOD | 44 pts vs #18 Vanderbilt |
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
| 71.9 | Points per Game | 77.6 |
| 74.2 | Points Against | 77 |
| 70.6 | Home PPG | 80.8 |
| 72.2 | Home PA | 68.6 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 76.7 |
| 76.6 | Away PA | 82.9 |
| 472-418 | Opponent Record | 438-486 |
| 207.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 223.3 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
UNC Asheville
Lipscomb
| Mar 7 | High Point (28-5) | L71-75 | Mar 6 | FGCU (14-18) | L53-77 |
| Mar 6 | Longwood (13-16) | W85-82 | Feb 28 | at E Kentucky (9-21) | W80-77 |
| Feb 28 | vs Charleston So (12-17) | L75-92 | Feb 25 | at West Georgia (13-17) | L77-84 |
| Feb 26 | at Gardner Webb (2-28) | W77-71 | Feb 21 | vs North Alabama (7-21) | W73-51 |
| Feb 21 | vs Radford (13-16) | W74-73 | Feb 18 | at Bellarmine (11-19) | W75-72 |
| Feb 19 | at High Point (28-5) | L48-74 | Feb 14 | at Queens NC (20-14) | L81-87 |
| Feb 14 | vs Presbyterian (12-18) | L57-58 | Feb 11 | vs E Kentucky (9-21) | W75-61 |
| Feb 12 | at Longwood (13-16) | W79-74 | Feb 7 | vs Cent Arkansas (20-12) | L78-86 |
| Feb 4 | vs SC Upstate (10-19) | W76-67 | Feb 4 | at Austin Peay (20-9) | L76-87 |
| Jan 31 | at Winthrop (20-11) | L71-84 | Jan 31 | at North Florida (5-25) | W100-94 |
vs
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