Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Louis 59%, Missouri 41% at a neutral site.
St Louis' win probability against Missouri has swung between 51% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
St Louis' win probability against Missouri has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Louis' win probability against Missouri has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.