Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan 51%, Connecticut 49% at a neutral site.
Michigan's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 70% to 44% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 75% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Connecticut is trending down — from 80% to 58% over the last 6 updates.