Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
E Kentucky
Illinois St
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
79
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
E Kentucky
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
62
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
E Kentucky
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
E Kentucky
Illinois St
| 297 | Overall | 94 |
| 295 | Power | 97 |
| 185 | Offensive | 169 |
| 342 | Defensive | 52 |
| 211 | SoS (Current) | 123 |
| 211 | SoS (Future) | 123 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois St 95%, E Kentucky 5% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against E Kentucky has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against E Kentucky has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against E Kentucky has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At E Kentucky | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 1 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 8 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 10 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 11 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 12 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 13 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 14 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 15 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 16 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 17 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 18 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 19 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 20 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 21 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 22 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 23 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 24 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
E Kentucky
Illinois St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-21 (30%) |
Overall |
22-13 (62.9%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Home |
13-2 (86.7%) |
|
3-13 (18.8%) |
Away |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-16 (5.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
E Kentucky
Illinois St
| #142 Cent Arkansas | Best Win | #57 Dayton |
| #341 North Florida | Worst Loss | #296 Evansville |
| 20 pts vs #275 Bellarmine | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car |
| 31 pts vs #69 Wichita St | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago |
E Kentucky
Illinois St
| 77.5 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 83.1 | Points Against | 69.1 |
| 81.5 | Home PPG | 78.5 |
| 82.8 | Home PA | 61.1 |
| 74.3 | Away PPG | 71.6 |
| 82.8 | Away PA | 74 |
| 476-452 | Opponent Record | 581-546 |
| 204.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 159.9 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
E Kentucky
Illinois St
| Mar 4 | Stetson (10-21) | L76-92 | Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 |
| Feb 28 | vs Lipscomb (17-13) | L77-80 | Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 |
| Feb 25 | vs Queens NC (20-14) | L79-96 | Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 |
| Feb 21 | at Bellarmine (11-19) | W95-92 | Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 |
| Feb 18 | vs West Georgia (13-17) | W81-80 | Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 |
| Feb 15 | at North Alabama (7-21) | L78-84 | Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 |
| Feb 11 | at Lipscomb (17-13) | L61-75 | Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 |
| Feb 7 | vs Stetson (10-21) | W100-88 | Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 |
| Feb 5 | vs FGCU (14-18) | W76-74 | Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 |
| Jan 31 | at Cent Arkansas (20-12) | L81-90 | Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 |
vs
College Basketball