Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida 75%, Miami FL 25% at a neutral site.
Florida's win probability against Miami FL is trending down — from 71% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Florida's win probability against Miami FL has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida's win probability against Miami FL is trending down — from 83% to 80% over the last 6 updates.