Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Connecticut 58%, St John's 42% at Connecticut.
Connecticut's win probability against St John's has swung between 42% and 47% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 45% now.
Connecticut's win probability against St John's is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Connecticut's win probability against St John's is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.