Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Alabama 95%, Oakland 5% at Alabama.
Alabama's win probability against Oakland is trending down — from 95% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Alabama's win probability against Oakland is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
Alabama's win probability against Oakland has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.