Louisville at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 9.81
TOTAL POINTS
144
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Virginia
Louisville 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Virginia
Louisville
| 43 | Overall | 9 |
| 33 | Power | 7 |
| 28 | Offensive | 11 |
| 66 | Defensive | 11 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 51 | SoS (Full Season) | 52 |
Louisville#974%
Virginia#4326%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Louisville 74%, Virginia 26% at Virginia.
Louisville's win probability against Virginia has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Louisville's win probability against Virginia has swung between 75% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
Louisville's win probability against Virginia has held at 83% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Louisville favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Virginia | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Virginia
Louisville
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
22-12 (64.7%) |
Overall |
29-8 (78.4%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Home |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Away |
9-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus Top 25 |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
13-12 (52%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
Louisville
| #6 Iowa | Best Win | #15 North Carolina |
| #186 UMBC | Worst Loss | #44 Virginia |
| 50 pts vs #346 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #354 Bellarmine |
| 19 pts vs #33 Syracuse | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Virginia
Louisville
| 75 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 65 | Points Against | 61 |
| 77.5 | Home PPG | 81.2 |
| 58.6 | Home PA | 58.6 |
| 74.7 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 63.8 |
| 655-459 | Opponent Record | 738-496 |
| 111.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.8 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
Louisville
| Mar 28 | #10 TCU (32-6) | L69-79 | Mar 28 | #5 Michigan (28-7) | L52-71 |
| Mar 23 | at #6 Iowa (27-7) | W83-75 | Mar 23 | vs #23 Alabama (24-11) | W69-68 |
| Mar 21 | Georgia (22-10) | W82-73 | Mar 21 | vs Vermont (25-8) | W72-52 |
| Mar 19 | Arizona St (24-11) | W57-55 | Mar 8 | #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-70 |
| Mar 5 | Clemson (21-12) | L50-63 | Mar 7 | #15 North Carolina (28-8) | W65-57 |
| Mar 1 | vs Virginia Tech (23-10) | L82-83 | Mar 6 | Syracuse (24-9) | W87-61 |
| Feb 26 | vs #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L70-82 | Mar 1 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L62-65 |
| Feb 22 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | W74-72 | Feb 26 | at Georgia Tech (14-19) | W69-50 |
| Feb 15 | at Stanford (21-14) | W75-69 | Feb 22 | vs Virginia (22-12) | L72-74 |
| Feb 12 | at California (21-15) | L58-64 | Feb 15 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W88-65 |