Duke at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 8.38
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Virginia
Duke 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Virginia
Duke
| 43 | Overall | 10 |
| 33 | Power | 9 |
| 28 | Offensive | 22 |
| 66 | Defensive | 5 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 51 | SoS (Full Season) | 7 |
Duke#1071%
Virginia#4329%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Duke 71%, Virginia 29% at Virginia.
Duke's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Virginia has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Duke favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Virginia | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Virginia
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
22-12 (64.7%) |
Overall |
27-9 (75%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Away |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus Top 25 |
7-7 (50%) |
|
13-12 (52%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
20-9 (69%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
Duke
| #6 Iowa | Best Win | #8 LSU |
| #186 UMBC | Worst Loss | #67 South Florida |
| 50 pts vs #346 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 59 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 19 pts vs #33 Syracuse | Largest MOD | 30 pts vs #1 UCLA |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Virginia
Duke
| 75 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 65 | Points Against | 59.7 |
| 77.5 | Home PPG | 83.2 |
| 58.6 | Home PA | 54.9 |
| 74.7 | Away PPG | 72.3 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 61.2 |
| 655-459 | Opponent Record | 807-409 |
| 111.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 70.8 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 17 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
Duke
| Mar 28 | #10 TCU (32-6) | L69-79 | Mar 29 | #1 UCLA (37-1) | L58-70 |
| Mar 23 | at #6 Iowa (27-7) | W83-75 | Mar 27 | at #8 LSU (29-6) | W87-85 |
| Mar 21 | Georgia (22-10) | W82-73 | Mar 22 | vs #20 Baylor (25-9) | W69-46 |
| Mar 19 | Arizona St (24-11) | W57-55 | Mar 20 | vs Col Charleston (25-6) | W81-64 |
| Mar 5 | Clemson (21-12) | L50-63 | Mar 8 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | W70-65 |
| Mar 1 | vs Virginia Tech (23-10) | L82-83 | Mar 7 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | W65-63 |
| Feb 26 | vs #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L70-82 | Mar 6 | Clemson (21-12) | W60-46 |
| Feb 22 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | W74-72 | Mar 1 | at #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L69-74 |
| Feb 15 | at Stanford (21-14) | W75-69 | Feb 26 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W80-52 |
| Feb 12 | at California (21-15) | L58-64 | Feb 22 | at Clemson (21-12) | L51-53 |