Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: James Madison 62%, Troy 38% at Troy.
James Madison's win probability against Troy has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
James Madison's win probability against Troy has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
James Madison's win probability against Troy has held at 73% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.