Dayton at St Louis Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 1.19
TOTAL POINTS
135
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
St Louis
Dayton 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
RANKINGS
St Louis
Dayton
| 221 | Overall | 134 |
| 205 | Power | 159 |
| 205 | Offensive | 110 |
| 189 | Defensive | 241 |
| 99 | SoS (Current) | 123 |
| 99 | SoS (Future) | 123 |
Dayton#13454%
St Louis#22146%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Dayton 54%, St Louis 46% at St Louis.
Dayton's win probability against St Louis has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against St Louis has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against St Louis has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Dayton favored
St Louis favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At St Louis | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 2 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 60% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 4 | 50% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 8 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 9 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 10 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 11 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 12 | 35% | 45% | 54% |
| Wk 13 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 43% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 16 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 17 | 47% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 61% | 69% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 21 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
RECORDS
St Louis
Dayton
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
11-21 (34.4%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Home |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-15 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
St Louis
Dayton
| #129 La Salle | Best Win | #48 Kansas |
| #276 Fordham | Worst Loss | #221 St Louis |
| 20 pts vs #229 Jacksonville St | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 48 pts vs #41 Richmond | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #87 Purdue |
OTHER STATISTICS
St Louis
Dayton
| 62.1 | Points per Game | 67 |
| 67.8 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 58.2 | Home PPG | 69.4 |
| 66.3 | Home PA | 66.9 |
| 66.1 | Away PPG | 64 |
| 70.1 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 540-483 | Opponent Record | 496-501 |
| 155 | Avg Opponent Rank | 164.8 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
St Louis
Dayton
| Mar 5 | La Salle (18-14) | L51-59 | Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 |
| Mar 4 | Fordham (9-20) | W68-60 | Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 |
| Feb 28 | at Davidson (21-12) | L62-74 | Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 |
| Feb 25 | vs Duquesne (10-19) | L64-82 | Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 |
| Feb 21 | vs St Joseph's PA (18-11) | L54-65 | Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 |
| Feb 14 | at Dayton (17-14) | L63-65 | Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 |
| Feb 11 | vs Fordham (9-20) | L39-42 | Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 |
| Feb 8 | at Rhode Island (27-5) | L43-74 | Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 |
| Feb 4 | vs Richmond (26-8) | L44-92 | Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 |
| Jan 31 | at George Mason (23-10) | L51-66 | Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 |
