St Mary's CA vs SMU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
St Mary's CA by 2.75
TOTAL POINTS
123
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
St Mary's CA
SMU 
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
Offensive |
82
B-
|
|
91
A-
|
Defensive |
72
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
St Mary's CA
SMU
| 207 | Overall | 197 |
| 166 | Power | 198 |
| 263 | Offensive | 161 |
| 74 | Defensive | 247 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 165 | SoS (Full Season) | 87 |
St Mary's CA#20757%
SMU#19743%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St Mary's CA 57%, SMU 43% at a neutral site.
St Mary's CA's win probability against SMU has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's CA's win probability against SMU has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's CA's win probability against SMU has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's CA favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SMU | Neutral | At St Mary's CA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
St Mary's CA
SMU
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
9-21 (30%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
6-10 (37.5%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Away |
2-10 (16.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-5 (0%) |
|
2-13 (13.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-15 (11.8%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
1-9 (10%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
St Mary's CA
SMU
| #132 Pepperdine | Best Win | #121 Arkansas |
| #250 San Diego | Worst Loss | #260 Boston College |
| 27 pts vs #341 Seattle | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #298 Grambling |
| 46 pts vs #28 USC | Largest MOD | 59 pts vs #9 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
St Mary's CA
SMU
| 59.1 | Points per Game | 61.8 |
| 60.4 | Points Against | 74.7 |
| 62.5 | Home PPG | 65 |
| 60.8 | Home PA | 68.9 |
| 56.3 | Away PPG | 55.3 |
| 58.6 | Away PA | 83.9 |
| 425-524 | Opponent Record | 513-464 |
| 176.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 126.7 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
St Mary's CA
SMU
| Mar 5 | San Diego (10-22) | L62-66 | Mar 1 | at California (21-15) | L34-78 |
| Feb 28 | at Washington St (9-25) | L50-57 | Feb 26 | at Stanford (21-14) | L57-87 |
| Feb 26 | at Gonzaga (24-10) | L67-75 | Feb 22 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L63-88 |
| Feb 21 | vs San Francisco (18-15) | L60-61 | Feb 19 | vs Boston College (5-26) | L59-77 |
| Feb 19 | at Santa Clara (22-10) | L55-63 | Feb 15 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W79-78 |
| Feb 16 | vs Seattle (3-25) | W86-59 | Feb 12 | at #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L42-94 |
| Feb 12 | vs Pacific (10-19) | L53-56 | Feb 8 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L36-95 |
| Feb 7 | at San Francisco (18-15) | W72-55 | Feb 5 | vs Wake Forest (14-18) | L65-70 |
| Feb 5 | vs Loy Marymount (20-10) | L69-75 | Jan 29 | at Clemson (21-12) | L54-83 |
| Jan 29 | at Portland (18-15) | L42-68 | Jan 25 | vs Miami FL (18-15) | L66-75 |