Virginia at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 9.1
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Virginia
North Carolina 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
92
A-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Virginia
North Carolina
| 43 | Overall | 14 |
| 33 | Power | 18 |
| 28 | Offensive | 29 |
| 66 | Defensive | 9 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 51 | SoS (Full Season) | 58 |
North Carolina#1472%
Virginia#4328%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: North Carolina 72%, Virginia 28% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Virginia | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 62% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 62% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 62% | 68% | 74% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Virginia
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
22-12 (64.7%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
13-12 (52%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
North Carolina
| #6 Iowa | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #186 UMBC | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 50 pts vs #346 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 19 pts vs #33 Syracuse | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Virginia
North Carolina
| 75 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 65 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 77.5 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 58.6 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 74.7 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 655-459 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 111.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
North Carolina
| Mar 28 | #10 TCU (32-6) | L69-79 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Mar 23 | at #6 Iowa (27-7) | W83-75 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Mar 21 | Georgia (22-10) | W82-73 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Mar 19 | Arizona St (24-11) | W57-55 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Mar 5 | Clemson (21-12) | L50-63 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Mar 1 | vs Virginia Tech (23-10) | L82-83 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 26 | vs #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L70-82 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 22 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | W74-72 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Feb 15 | at Stanford (21-14) | W75-69 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Feb 12 | at California (21-15) | L58-64 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |