Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Siena 68%, New Haven 32% at New Haven.
Siena's win probability against New Haven has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Siena's win probability against New Haven is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Siena's win probability against New Haven has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.