Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: NC State 63%, Virginia 37% at NC State.
NC State's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 54% to 50% over the last 6 updates.
NC State's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 60% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
NC State's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.