Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Michigan 81%, Oregon 19% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Oregon has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Michigan's win probability against Oregon has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Michigan's win probability against Oregon has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.