Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Carolina 79%, Maryland 21% at Maryland.
South Carolina's win probability against Maryland has swung between 78% and 84% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Maryland has swung between 82% and 87% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 83% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Maryland has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.