Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Maine 79%, Siena 21% at Maine.
Maine's win probability against Siena is trending down — from 71% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Maine's win probability against Siena is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Maine's win probability against Siena has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.