Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Stony Brook 52%, Iona 48% at Iona.
Stony Brook's win probability against Iona is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Stony Brook's win probability against Iona is trending down — from 62% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Stony Brook's win probability against Iona is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.